Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Football Mogul Predicts the 2013 Season

Predictions by Football Mogul 2014 for the upcoming season (100 seasons simulated):
AFC East
Record
New England Patriots
12-4
Miami Dolphins
8-8
New York Jets
6-10
Buffalo Bills
5-11
NFC East
Record
Philadelphia Eagles
10-6
New York Giants
8-8
Dallas Cowboys
8-8
Washington Redskins
6-10
AFC North
Record
Cincinnati Bengals
10-6
Baltimore Ravens
9-7
Pittsburgh Steelers
8-8
Cleveland Browns
5-11
NFC North
Record
Green Bay Packers
10-6
Detroit Lions
9-7
Chicago Bears
8-8
Minnesota Vikings
8-8
AFC South
Record
Indianapolis Colts
11-5
Houston Texans
9-7
Tennessee Titans
5-11
Jacksonville Jaguars
3-13
NFC South
Record
New Orleans Saints
11-5
Carolina Panthers
10-6
Atlanta Falcons
6-10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
5-11
AFC West
Record
Denver Broncos
13-3
Kansas City Chiefs
10-6
San Diego Chargers
7-9
Oakland Raiders
3-13
NFC West
Record
Seattle Seahawks
13-3
San Francisco 49ers
12-4
St. Louis Rams
7-9
Arizona Cardinals
5-11

Items of note:

Overall, the NFC is better than the AFC this year, thanks to teams like the Jacksonville Jaguars and Oakland Raiders. Football Mogul predicts the NFC will go 38-26 (.594) in AFC vs. NFC match-ups.

Best Division: NFC West

Most Competitive Division: NFC North

Least Competitive Division: AFC East

Most Likely to "Win" #1 Draft Pick in the 2014 Draft: Jacksonville

2 comments:

Tom Travis said...

Looking at these prediction at the end of the season, it seems like the power rankings were more accurate than the standings, but these hold up okay. Your playoffs would have 7 or 8 of the same 12 playoff teams (depending on the tiebreaker between NO and Chi). Comparing that to the Fox Sports preseason expert picks, their 7 experts scored 1 6, 4 7's, and 2 8's, so you beat their average. Your teams that you missed on the most seem to be the same as the experts, Houston (9 games worse than predicted), Washington (7 games worse than predicted), Atlanta (6 games worse than predicted). Arizona, Carolina, and Philadelphia were also off by 4 or 5 games. Seems odd that Washington was pretty low on your power rating, and Philadelphia was pretty high, yet their records didn't match that. You had Cincinnati above Baltimore in power rating, Indianapolis above Houston, New Orleans above Atlanta. If you had taken your playoff picks directly from your power ratings, you would have picked 10 of the 12 playoff teams correctly.

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