Thursday, April 6, 2017

Baseball Mogul Predicts the 2017 Season

I'm a couple days late, but I put Baseball Mogul 2017 through it's paces today by simulating the current season a thousand times.

The following tables show the average number of wins and losses for each team, plus the chance of each result for each team (such as winning the World Series or finishing last in 3rd place in their division).

AL EASTWonLostWins
World Series
Wins
ALCS
Reaches
ALCS
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Boston89.8872.1510220740676316261113
Toronto85.5976.49387114811231132021443
Tampa Bay83.0379.0221448763304259260114
New York82.7279.3415316355212243292158
Baltimore76.6385.374716711112192678


AL CENTRALWonLostWins
World Series
Wins
ALCS
Reaches
ALCS
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Cleveland91.8570.2612124648571520369103
Detroit84.1977.91305711823234028713110
Kansas City76.6685.40381455251294293107
Chicago74.6487.4135129185254427125
Minnesota69.7992.2224941779135765


AL WESTWonLostWins
World Series
Wins
ALCS
Reaches
ALCS
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Houston86.3675.778115931942223521311614
Seattle85.3276.755410621427036226111819
Texas81.9480.1515275721328231515634
Los Angeles78.3983.6511194180146154425185
Oakland74.3489.6681634264670247611


NL EASTWonLostWins
World Series
Wins
NLCS
Reaches
NLCS
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Washington92.4568.59891873636313075273
New York90.4871.61681382743505429794
Miami80.6481.371120441288401372117
Atlanta74.5987.43237536389338232
Philadelphia68.2793.7311322061279640


NL CENTRALWonLostWins
World Series
Wins
NLCS
Reaches
NLCS
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Chicago94.6567.381292455057322105152
St. Louis84.4577.601736701624602291418
Pittsburgh81.2680.801325529025247716814
Milwaukee71.5090.5038171179234565111
Cincinnati69.6692.3413751120127827


NL WESTWonLostWins
World Series
Wins
NLCS
Reaches
NLCS
1st2nd3rd4th5th
Los Angeles93.5068.601032104064912582053917
San Francisco88.8273.2541861672953632525129
Arizona80.1381.928173610324830229255
Colorado78.7583.27511217113023549674
San Diego67.2392.77135193248120781

These tables were created using the new HTML output feature of the Simulation Tool in Baseball Mogul 2017.


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