Monday, September 2, 2013

A Note On Tackles

"Tackles" have been an official stat since 2001, but there is still some confusion about what the term means. For example, CBS Sports and NFL.com both show Luke Kuechly with 164 Tackles in 2012. But Pro-Football-Reference only gives him 103 tackles.

Luke Kuechly had 103 "tackles" last year. Or did he?
This is because CBS and the NFL are adding together "Solo Tackles" and "Assisted Tackles", but Pro-Football-Reference is only counting "Solo Tackles" (with a column next to it for "Assisted Tackles").

ESPN adds more confusion. Instead of a column called "tackles", they have a column called COMB (for "combined") and one called TOTAL. This doesn't clarify anything, because "total" and "combined" are essentially synonyms, both meaning to "add up".

(This convention even confuses ESPN's own writers. Their Fantasy Projection for Kuechly mentions "200 total tackles" when it is clear that what they really mean, according to their own nomenclature, is "200 combined tackles".)


So... for Football Mogul, we are sticking to the NFL's official definition:
[A tackle is] recorded when a defensive player makes contact with an offensive player, forcing him to go to the ground. Tackles can be recorded as either "solo tackles" or "assisted tackles".
In other words, "tackles" includes both "solo tackles" and "assisted tackles". For every tackle that occurs in the simulation, Football Mogul either awards a "solo tackle" to one defensive player, or an "assisted tackle" to each of two different players.

Monday, August 26, 2013

Football Mogul 2014 Sneak Peak

Football Mogul 2014 will be released on Wednesday, September 4th.

Leading up to that launch, here's a quick look at the updated Scouting Report in the game:


Sunday, July 14, 2013

Kickstarter and Feature Creep


Kickstarter

An example of feature creep (by James Provost)
The current buzz in game dev circles is about the Double Fine Adventure launched on Kickstarter 18 months ago.

To make a long story short:
1) Development team goes on Kickstarter to raise $400K
2) No stretch goals were specified.
3) They raised more than $3.3 million.
4) Nine months after the "Estimated delivery" date, there is no game.
5) Uproar has ensued.

Sunday, March 24, 2013

Baseball Mogul 2014: New Feature Descriptions

Although this repeats some of the information posted earlier this month, this is the description of new features that is being included in the help files for Baseball Mogul 2014:

Major League Equivalencies

Baseball Mogul automatically analyzes each player's career (at all levels, including major league and minor league stats) and converts them to "Major League Equivalencies", projecting how each player will perform in the upcoming season. For example, a .300 batting average with the Pawtucket Red Sox might translate to a .273 batting average at the major league level. Real-life minor league stats (see below) are adjusted for level of play and park factors.

Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Baseball Mogul 2014: Minor League Park Factors

Park factors used for calculating 2013 Major League Equivalencies (MLEs) for minor league and major league players included in Baseball Mogul 2014. (.pdf version)

Five-year park factors generated using 2008-2012 minor league player data.

California League (Class A Advanced)

Team
State
Farm System
H
2B
3B
HR
BB
K
R
Bakersfield Blaze
CA
CIN
0.98
1.00
0.93
1.05
1.03
0.99
0.98
High Desert Mavericks
CA
SEA
1.05
1.03
0.85
1.23
1.03
0.94
1.13
Inland Empire 66ers
CA
LAA
0.98
0.96
1.15
0.79
0.99
1.03
0.93
Lake Elsinore Storm
CA
SD
0.96
1.01
1.13
0.84
1.02
0.97
0.95
Lancaster JetHawks
CA
HOU
1.08
1.04
0.91
1.21
1.01
0.96
1.14
Modesto Nuts
CA
COL
1.00
1.06
1.26
0.80
0.99
0.99
0.97
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
CA
LAD
0.99
0.99
1.02
0.96
0.97
0.99
0.96
San Jose Giants
CA
SF
0.94
0.97
1.04
0.87
0.97
1.08
0.89
Stockton Ports
CA
OAK
0.98
0.95
0.71
1.22
1.02
1.04
1.00
Visalia Rawhide
CA
ARI
1.03
1.04
0.88
1.19
1.01
0.98
1.06

Friday, March 1, 2013

Baseball Mogul 2014

Baseball Mogul 2014 launches March 22nd!
It's official. Baseball Mogul 2014 will go on sale on March 25th.

As you would expect, we have made the following updates for the 2013 season:
  • The real 2013 schedule.
  • Updated stats through 2012.
  • Updated rosters.
  • New league format for 2013 (it's so weird seeing Houston in the AL West).
We also have some great new features to appeal to everyone from the pitch-by-pitch player to the stat geek to the front-office genius. These are the most noteworthy:
We've also been busy with many smaller improvements and fixing bugs (including this one, this onethis onethis one, and this one, as just a few examples).

Time to get back to work. Thanks for reading!

Thursday, February 28, 2013

Real Minor League Stats (Baseball Mogul)

For Baseball Mogul 2014, we have added over 1 million lines of minor league batting, pitching, fielding and catching data, going back to the 1880s.

Click for larger image
The above screen shot shows Jurickson Profar, the Ranger's #1 prospect. The Baseball Mogul AI thinks he should be in their starting lineup on Opening Day.